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Musk: SpaceX plans 100 launches in 2023
Musk said that SpaceX’s goal is to complete 100 launch missions in 2023, and the company has already set a previous record in 2022, and will continue to set records in the future.
According to public information, after several years of stagnation, SpaceX conducted about 15-20 launches per year from 2017 to 2019, and as Starlink entered the construction phase, the number of launches from 2019 to 2020 suddenly doubled some time.
For SpaceX, 2020 appears to be an attempt, with results showing that SpaceX is capable of launching a Falcon 9 rocket every two weeks. That year, SpaceX launched a total of 26 launches, breaking the previous record of 21 launches set in 2018.
In the first half of 2021, SpaceX launched a total of 20 satellites, a 50% increase over the launch rate for the whole of 2020. In the second half of the year, SpaceX had two blank periods, so SpaceX launched 11 more times in the second half of the year. In the end, SpaceX completed six launches in the four weeks before the end of the year, proving itself capable of 78 launches per year.
So far, 2022 has maintained the launch rate of the last few weeks of 2021, or even increased it.
In the first half of this year, SpaceX successfully launched 27 Falcon 9 missions, almost half the time to break its previous record of 31 launches in 2021. If this pace continues, at least 54 new records will be achieved this year.
In the second half of this year, SpaceX launched six rockets in July and August, maintaining a rate of 72 launches per year. However, this was considered a fluke. But if SpaceX goes ahead with another six launches in September, it could be seen as the new normal for Falcon 9's launch cadence.
To achieve 100 Falcon launches by 2023, SpaceX would need to find a way to average eight launches per month, a 33 percent increase from its current rate.
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